Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.452150 0.496039 0.543055 0.597290 0.658277 0.724908 0.803445
2026-01-18 0.381221 0.442321 0.512425 0.599334 0.704903 0.829901 0.990465
2026-01-25 0.341235 0.411117 0.495125 0.604617 0.745117 0.921500 1.163124
2026-02-01 0.304761 0.377796 0.468777 0.592052 0.757233 0.974583 1.288459
2026-02-08 0.282196 0.358601 0.456792 0.594493 0.786320 1.049797 1.449409
2026-02-15 0.261124 0.338876 0.441488 0.589729 0.803377 1.108195 1.591384
2026-02-22 0.245788 0.325174 0.432537 0.591986 0.829244 1.180222 1.760851
2026-03-01 0.229507 0.308709 0.418112 0.584555 0.839295 1.228494 1.897708
2026-03-08 0.214575 0.292938 0.403258 0.574804 0.844202 1.268255 2.024244
2026-03-15 0.198973 0.275106 0.384051 0.556687 0.833951 1.281987 2.106866
2026-03-22 0.193064 0.270915 0.384464 0.568448 0.871923 1.377997 2.346895
2026-03-29 0.187027 0.266067 0.383418 0.577572 0.906004 1.470426 2.592754
2026-04-05 0.179968 0.259380 0.379298 0.581713 0.932583 1.553560 2.835549
2026-04-12 0.172933 0.252315 0.374120 0.583679 0.955538 1.632670 3.082979
2026-04-19 0.167172 0.246854 0.371054 0.588795 0.984287 1.725368 3.373246
2026-04-26 0.158306 0.235972 0.358533 0.576629 0.980194 1.754002 3.527883
2026-05-03 0.153014 0.230513 0.354533 0.578992 1.003255 1.838624 3.822909
2026-05-10 0.146784 0.223192 0.346973 0.574379 1.012414 1.895669 4.062455
2026-05-17 0.142241 0.218392 0.343350 0.576564 1.034871 1.982793 4.390655
2026-05-24 0.136358 0.211067 0.334990 0.569369 1.037867 2.028186 4.620778
2026-05-31 0.130482 0.203481 0.325774 0.559925 1.035415 2.061155 4.824005
2026-06-07 0.123645 0.193973 0.312732 0.542376 1.014711 2.050654 4.907018
2026-06-14 0.121826 0.192967 0.314654 0.553769 1.055951 2.187766 5.432189